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  string(626) "As a result of significant advances in the field of spondyloarthritis (SpA) researchers started using the terms ?early axial SpA? (axSpA) to refer to the first phase of the disease. Nevertheless, no consensual definition has been established. The ASAS-SPEAR (SPondyloarthritis EARly definition) project aims at proposing a consensus definition of ?early axSpA? to be employed in research, in order to avoid the use of arbitrary or heterogeneous definitions. To inform the final decision on the ?early axSpA? definition, we aim to evaluate the relationship between symptom duration and clinical response in patients with axSpA."
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  string(1553) "Background: The Assessment of SpondyloArthritis international Society (ASAS) identified the need to establish a standardized definition for the term ?early axSpA? in research setting. The ASAS-SPEAR (SPondyloarthritis EARly definition) project aims at proposing a consensus definition of ?early axSpA? to be employed in research, in order to avoid the use of arbitrary or heterogeneous definitions.
Objective: To evaluate the relationship between symptom duration and clinical response in patients with axSpA treated with biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) and targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (tsDMARDs).
Study design: A systematic review with meta-analysis will be performed. The SLRs conducted in the context of the ASAS-EULAR recommendations for the management of axSpA are used to identify eligible studies. This includes the SLR conducted for the ongoing, 2022 update of the recommendations. Inclusion criteria for the studies, following the PICO (Participants, Intervention, Comparator and Outcomes) framework.
Participants: Participants will be adult patients (age ?18 years) with axSpA categorized in early vs established disease based on symptom duration and with definitions using different cut-offs. Interventions will be treatment with bDMARDs, or tsDMARDs; comparator will be placebo. Main Outcome Measure(s): The primary endpoint of this SLR/meta-analysis will be ASAS40 at 6 months in treated patients compared with placebo for patients with early vs established disease." ["project_brief_bg"]=> string(3212) "As a result of significant advances in the field of spondyloarthritis (SpA) researchers started using the terms ?early axial SpA? (axSpA) to refer to the first phase of the disease. Nevertheless, no consensual definition has been established. In this respect, the Assessment of SpondyloArthritis international Society (ASAS) identified the need to establish a standardized definition for the term ?early axSpA? in research setting. The ASAS-SPEAR (SPondyloarthritis EARly definition) project aims at proposing a consensus definition of ?early axSpA? to be employed in research, in order to avoid the use of arbitrary or heterogeneous definitions.
As a first step of this project, a systematic literature review (SLR) was conducted. This review had as objectives: 1) to identify all possible definitions used in the literature to define ?early SpA?, including ?early axSpA? and ?early pSpA?; 2) to summarize the evidence on the relationship between symptom/disease duration or the presence of radiographic damage and clinical treatment response in patients with axSpA. Two abstracts summarizing the results of the systematic literature review (SLR) will be presented at EULAR 2022 Congress (1,2). In addition, a full manuscript has been submitted for publication, another is in preparation.
The main conclusions of the SLR were that there is substantial heterogeneity in the definitions of ?early SpA? in the current literature, and that evidence on whether the duration of symptoms is related with different treatment outcomes is scarce and mostly inconclusive. Of note, when early was defined by disease duration or radiographic damage, no association with clinical treatment response was found. The results of this SLR were discussed among all ASAS members in the 2022 ASAS annual meeting. A voting took place, in which there was a consensus to pursue a definition of ?early axSpA?. Additionally, the group voted this definition to be based on symptom duration. Currently, a Delphi survey among ASAS members is being conducted to decide on the details of this definition, as for example the final cut-off of this symptom duration (e.g. < 2 years).
To inform the final decision on the ?early axSpA? definition, one of the steps of the ASAS-SPEAR project is to conduct analyses to assess treatment outcomes according to the different thresholds of symptom duration in patients included in randomized controlled trials (RCT). In this sense, it is relevant to know whether patients who are treated earlier or later in the course of their disease (with a definition based on symptom duration) have different outcomes or response to treatment. This information is not readily available for most of the conducted trials as it is not part of the regulatory requirements. Relying on an SLR with published data only is subject to publication bias. We therefore want to systematically obtain data through the sponsors or authors from eligible trials. The latter are identified through the SLRs conducted in the context of the ASAS-EULAR recommendations for the management of axSpA (previously published SLRs and also the recent SLR performed as basis of the ongoing, 2022 update of the recommendations)." ["project_specific_aims"]=> string(648) "To evaluate the relationship between symptom duration and clinical response in patients with axSpA treated with biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) and targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (tsDMARDs):
a) To investigate whether symptom duration has an effect on treatment outcomes in patients with axSpA
b) To investigate whether there is a different efficacy of different b/tsDMARDs in patients with early vs established axSpA
c) To analyse whether the efficacy of different b/tsDMARDs in patients with early vs established axSpA differs according to different cut-offs of symptom duration" ["project_study_design"]=> string(0) "" ["project_study_design_exp"]=> string(0) "" ["project_purposes"]=> array(1) { [0]=> array(2) { ["value"]=> string(114) "New research question to examine treatment effectiveness on secondary endpoints and/or within subgroup populations" ["label"]=> string(114) "New research question to examine treatment effectiveness on secondary endpoints and/or within subgroup populations" } } ["project_purposes_exp"]=> string(0) "" ["project_software_used"]=> array(2) { ["value"]=> string(1) "R" ["label"]=> string(1) "R" } ["project_software_used_exp"]=> string(0) "" ["project_research_methods"]=> string(614) "Data from patients with a diagnosis of axSpA who have duration of (axial) symptoms collected will be used.
Patients will be categorized according to symptom duration, defined by the following thresholds: 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 years of symptom duration. Patients with symptom duration below these thresholds will be considered early disease, whereas patients with symptom duration above these thresholds will be considered established disease, for each of the analysis. Hence, a patient might be included as early disease in one analysis and as established disease in other analysis, depending on the cut-off used." ["project_main_outcome_measure"]=> string(415) "The primary endpoint of this SLR/meta-analysis will be ASAS40 at 6 months in treated patients compared with placebo for patients with early vs established disease. Secondary endpoints, also at 6 months, are: ASAS20, ASAS 5/6, ASAS partial remission, change (from baseline) in Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS), ASDAS clinical important improvement, ASDAS major improvement, achievement of ASDAS" ["project_main_predictor_indep"]=> string(215) "- ASAS response criteria (ASAS40) achievement (yes/no) at 6 months.
Separate analyses will be conducted for different thresholds of disease duration , when possible, i.e. when the data allows such a comparison" ["project_other_variables_interest"]=> string(588) "- Socio-Demographic and clinical characteristics:
-- Symptom duration (with different thresholds)
- Age
- Gender
- Presence of any syndesmophyte
- bDMARD-IR
- Disease subtype: r-axSpA, nr-axSpA
- Disease activity:
- ASAS response criteria (ASAS20, ASAS40, ASAS5/6 and ASAS partial remission)
- Change in Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score-C-reactive protein (ASDAS-CRP)
- ASDAS response criteria (clinical important improvement - ASDAS-CII [ASDAS ? ?1.1] and major improvement - ASDAS-MI [ASDAS ? ?2.0])
- ASDAS" ["project_stat_analysis_plan"]=> string(1432) "The analysis will have 2 steps: 1) analysis at the individual study level; 2) meta-analysis of all included studies.
From the individual included RCTs, aggregated data will be computed based on the above-mentioned outcomes at the timing of the primary endpoint as well as baseline characteristics of the included patients (age, gender, symptom duration) in each treatment arm. Missing data will be imputed using the non-responder imputation (NRI) method for categorical outcomes.
Concerning outcomes, for categorical variables relative risk (RR) (ratio of the incidence in the early group and the incidence in the established group) will be calculated for the groups of active treatment and placebo (3). Additionally, relative risk ratios (RRR) will be calculated, representing the treatment effect [active vs placebo] between the two groups [early vs established]), together with the 95% confidence interval (95% CI) (4,5). Number needed to treat (NNT) (number of patients we need to treat in order to achieve one additional patient reaching the outcome) will be assessed (6). For the continuous variables, differences in differences (DID), which represent the difference between treatment effect in early and established disease, will be calculated (7).
Making use of the aggregated data from each trial, pooled analyses will be performed (8). Pooled RR and RRR, as well as DiD will be estimated using fixed (I2" ["project_timeline"]=> string(345) "The present study will be carried out over a period of 10 months after we obtain the data from all eligible RCTs. The schedule will be as follows:
- 5 months: to prepare the database and perform the statistical analysis.
- 5 months: to discuss the main findings and their interpretation and to prepare the manuscript to be submitted." ["project_dissemination_plan"]=> string(148) "A manuscript including a meta-analysis of the eligible studies will be published. Suitable journals: Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases, Rheumatology." ["project_bibliography"]=> string(1360) "

1. Benavent D, Capelusnik D, van der Heijde D, Landew R, Poddubnyy D, van Tubergen A, Falzon L, Ramiro S and Navarro-Compn V. How is early spondyloarthritis defined in the literature? Results from a systematic review. EULAR Congress 2022 (accepted).
2. Capelusnik D, Benavent D, van der Heijde D, Landew R, Poddubnyy D, van Tubergen A, Falzon L, Navarro-Compn V and Ramiro S. Treating spondyloarthritis early: does it matter? Results from a Systematic Literature Review. EULAR Congress 2022 (accepted).
3. McNutt LA, Wu C, Xue X, Hafner JP. Estimating the relative risk in cohort studies and clinical trials of common outcomes. Am J Epidemiol. 2003;157(10):940-3.
4. Rybicki BA, Elston RC. The relationship between the sibling recurrence-risk ratio and genotype relative risk. Am J Hum Genet. 2000;66(2):593-604.
5. [Internet] Bayesian Meta-Analysis with R and Stan. https://devinincerti.com/2015/10/31/bayesian-meta-analysis.html
6. Pinson L, Gray GE. Psychopharmacology: number needed to treat: an underused measure of treatment effect. Psychiatr Serv. 2003;54(2):145-6, 54.
7. de Chaisemartin C, D?Haultf?uille X. Fuzzy Differences-in-Differences. The Review of Economic Studies. 2017;85(2):999-1028.
8. Cohen J. Statistical power analysis. Current directions in psychological science. 1992 Jun;1(3):98-101.

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2022-4962

Research Proposal

Project Title: SPondyloarthritis: EARly Definition (ASAS-SPEAR): Analysis of Symptom Duration Thresholds Using Pooled Data from Randomized Controlled Trials

Scientific Abstract: Background: The Assessment of SpondyloArthritis international Society (ASAS) identified the need to establish a standardized definition for the term ?early axSpA? in research setting. The ASAS-SPEAR (SPondyloarthritis EARly definition) project aims at proposing a consensus definition of ?early axSpA? to be employed in research, in order to avoid the use of arbitrary or heterogeneous definitions.
Objective: To evaluate the relationship between symptom duration and clinical response in patients with axSpA treated with biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) and targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (tsDMARDs).
Study design: A systematic review with meta-analysis will be performed. The SLRs conducted in the context of the ASAS-EULAR recommendations for the management of axSpA are used to identify eligible studies. This includes the SLR conducted for the ongoing, 2022 update of the recommendations. Inclusion criteria for the studies, following the PICO (Participants, Intervention, Comparator and Outcomes) framework.
Participants: Participants will be adult patients (age ?18 years) with axSpA categorized in early vs established disease based on symptom duration and with definitions using different cut-offs. Interventions will be treatment with bDMARDs, or tsDMARDs; comparator will be placebo. Main Outcome Measure(s): The primary endpoint of this SLR/meta-analysis will be ASAS40 at 6 months in treated patients compared with placebo for patients with early vs established disease.

Brief Project Background and Statement of Project Significance: As a result of significant advances in the field of spondyloarthritis (SpA) researchers started using the terms ?early axial SpA? (axSpA) to refer to the first phase of the disease. Nevertheless, no consensual definition has been established. In this respect, the Assessment of SpondyloArthritis international Society (ASAS) identified the need to establish a standardized definition for the term ?early axSpA? in research setting. The ASAS-SPEAR (SPondyloarthritis EARly definition) project aims at proposing a consensus definition of ?early axSpA? to be employed in research, in order to avoid the use of arbitrary or heterogeneous definitions.
As a first step of this project, a systematic literature review (SLR) was conducted. This review had as objectives: 1) to identify all possible definitions used in the literature to define ?early SpA?, including ?early axSpA? and ?early pSpA?; 2) to summarize the evidence on the relationship between symptom/disease duration or the presence of radiographic damage and clinical treatment response in patients with axSpA. Two abstracts summarizing the results of the systematic literature review (SLR) will be presented at EULAR 2022 Congress (1,2). In addition, a full manuscript has been submitted for publication, another is in preparation.
The main conclusions of the SLR were that there is substantial heterogeneity in the definitions of ?early SpA? in the current literature, and that evidence on whether the duration of symptoms is related with different treatment outcomes is scarce and mostly inconclusive. Of note, when early was defined by disease duration or radiographic damage, no association with clinical treatment response was found. The results of this SLR were discussed among all ASAS members in the 2022 ASAS annual meeting. A voting took place, in which there was a consensus to pursue a definition of ?early axSpA?. Additionally, the group voted this definition to be based on symptom duration. Currently, a Delphi survey among ASAS members is being conducted to decide on the details of this definition, as for example the final cut-off of this symptom duration (e.g. < 2 years).
To inform the final decision on the ?early axSpA? definition, one of the steps of the ASAS-SPEAR project is to conduct analyses to assess treatment outcomes according to the different thresholds of symptom duration in patients included in randomized controlled trials (RCT). In this sense, it is relevant to know whether patients who are treated earlier or later in the course of their disease (with a definition based on symptom duration) have different outcomes or response to treatment. This information is not readily available for most of the conducted trials as it is not part of the regulatory requirements. Relying on an SLR with published data only is subject to publication bias. We therefore want to systematically obtain data through the sponsors or authors from eligible trials. The latter are identified through the SLRs conducted in the context of the ASAS-EULAR recommendations for the management of axSpA (previously published SLRs and also the recent SLR performed as basis of the ongoing, 2022 update of the recommendations).

Specific Aims of the Project: To evaluate the relationship between symptom duration and clinical response in patients with axSpA treated with biologic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) and targeted synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (tsDMARDs):
a) To investigate whether symptom duration has an effect on treatment outcomes in patients with axSpA
b) To investigate whether there is a different efficacy of different b/tsDMARDs in patients with early vs established axSpA
c) To analyse whether the efficacy of different b/tsDMARDs in patients with early vs established axSpA differs according to different cut-offs of symptom duration

Study Design:

What is the purpose of the analysis being proposed? Please select all that apply.: New research question to examine treatment effectiveness on secondary endpoints and/or within subgroup populations

Software Used: R

Data Source and Inclusion/Exclusion Criteria to be used to define the patient sample for your study: Data from patients with a diagnosis of axSpA who have duration of (axial) symptoms collected will be used.
Patients will be categorized according to symptom duration, defined by the following thresholds: 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 years of symptom duration. Patients with symptom duration below these thresholds will be considered early disease, whereas patients with symptom duration above these thresholds will be considered established disease, for each of the analysis. Hence, a patient might be included as early disease in one analysis and as established disease in other analysis, depending on the cut-off used.

Primary and Secondary Outcome Measure(s) and how they will be categorized/defined for your study: The primary endpoint of this SLR/meta-analysis will be ASAS40 at 6 months in treated patients compared with placebo for patients with early vs established disease. Secondary endpoints, also at 6 months, are: ASAS20, ASAS 5/6, ASAS partial remission, change (from baseline) in Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS), ASDAS clinical important improvement, ASDAS major improvement, achievement of ASDAS

Main Predictor/Independent Variable and how it will be categorized/defined for your study: - ASAS response criteria (ASAS40) achievement (yes/no) at 6 months.
Separate analyses will be conducted for different thresholds of disease duration , when possible, i.e. when the data allows such a comparison

Other Variables of Interest that will be used in your analysis and how they will be categorized/defined for your study: - Socio-Demographic and clinical characteristics:
-- Symptom duration (with different thresholds)
- Age
- Gender
- Presence of any syndesmophyte
- bDMARD-IR
- Disease subtype: r-axSpA, nr-axSpA
- Disease activity:
- ASAS response criteria (ASAS20, ASAS40, ASAS5/6 and ASAS partial remission)
- Change in Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Score-C-reactive protein (ASDAS-CRP)
- ASDAS response criteria (clinical important improvement - ASDAS-CII [ASDAS ? ?1.1] and major improvement - ASDAS-MI [ASDAS ? ?2.0])
- ASDAS

Statistical Analysis Plan: The analysis will have 2 steps: 1) analysis at the individual study level; 2) meta-analysis of all included studies.
From the individual included RCTs, aggregated data will be computed based on the above-mentioned outcomes at the timing of the primary endpoint as well as baseline characteristics of the included patients (age, gender, symptom duration) in each treatment arm. Missing data will be imputed using the non-responder imputation (NRI) method for categorical outcomes.
Concerning outcomes, for categorical variables relative risk (RR) (ratio of the incidence in the early group and the incidence in the established group) will be calculated for the groups of active treatment and placebo (3). Additionally, relative risk ratios (RRR) will be calculated, representing the treatment effect [active vs placebo] between the two groups [early vs established]), together with the 95% confidence interval (95% CI) (4,5). Number needed to treat (NNT) (number of patients we need to treat in order to achieve one additional patient reaching the outcome) will be assessed (6). For the continuous variables, differences in differences (DID), which represent the difference between treatment effect in early and established disease, will be calculated (7).
Making use of the aggregated data from each trial, pooled analyses will be performed (8). Pooled RR and RRR, as well as DiD will be estimated using fixed (I2

Narrative Summary: As a result of significant advances in the field of spondyloarthritis (SpA) researchers started using the terms ?early axial SpA? (axSpA) to refer to the first phase of the disease. Nevertheless, no consensual definition has been established. The ASAS-SPEAR (SPondyloarthritis EARly definition) project aims at proposing a consensus definition of ?early axSpA? to be employed in research, in order to avoid the use of arbitrary or heterogeneous definitions. To inform the final decision on the ?early axSpA? definition, we aim to evaluate the relationship between symptom duration and clinical response in patients with axSpA.

Project Timeline: The present study will be carried out over a period of 10 months after we obtain the data from all eligible RCTs. The schedule will be as follows:
- 5 months: to prepare the database and perform the statistical analysis.
- 5 months: to discuss the main findings and their interpretation and to prepare the manuscript to be submitted.

Dissemination Plan: A manuscript including a meta-analysis of the eligible studies will be published. Suitable journals: Annals of the Rheumatic Diseases, Rheumatology.

Bibliography:

1. Benavent D, Capelusnik D, van der Heijde D, Landew R, Poddubnyy D, van Tubergen A, Falzon L, Ramiro S and Navarro-Compn V. How is early spondyloarthritis defined in the literature? Results from a systematic review. EULAR Congress 2022 (accepted).
2. Capelusnik D, Benavent D, van der Heijde D, Landew R, Poddubnyy D, van Tubergen A, Falzon L, Navarro-Compn V and Ramiro S. Treating spondyloarthritis early: does it matter? Results from a Systematic Literature Review. EULAR Congress 2022 (accepted).
3. McNutt LA, Wu C, Xue X, Hafner JP. Estimating the relative risk in cohort studies and clinical trials of common outcomes. Am J Epidemiol. 2003;157(10):940-3.
4. Rybicki BA, Elston RC. The relationship between the sibling recurrence-risk ratio and genotype relative risk. Am J Hum Genet. 2000;66(2):593-604.
5. [Internet] Bayesian Meta-Analysis with R and Stan. https://devinincerti.com/2015/10/31/bayesian-meta-analysis.html
6. Pinson L, Gray GE. Psychopharmacology: number needed to treat: an underused measure of treatment effect. Psychiatr Serv. 2003;54(2):145-6, 54.
7. de Chaisemartin C, D?Haultf?uille X. Fuzzy Differences-in-Differences. The Review of Economic Studies. 2017;85(2):999-1028.
8. Cohen J. Statistical power analysis. Current directions in psychological science. 1992 Jun;1(3):98-101.