The hypothesis that expectancy effects are important in ADHD drug treatment is certainly worth testing. However I am not convinced that the proposed surrogate has any validity: “The RCT must have a measure of group assignment belief encoded into the data. This may be a blindedness measure, where participants guessed their group assignment. I will use this coarse measure of expectancy to perform a two by two analysis based on both actual group assignment and group assignment belief.”
I am also not sure that such information is available in the CSRs.
So it is hard to know on what data this analysis can be grounded.
See comments above.
It seems to me unlikely that there will be enough information on participants’ guesses about their treatment allocation to ground this analysis, which in any case would be inadequate to validate the proposed hypothesis.